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Smart money: the convergence that front-runs a pump
When two or more distinct proven-wallet trees buy the same fresh Solana mint inside two hours, the card appears — the pattern behind 'five wallets turned 1k into 100k', flagged at the front edge and scored in public.
The signal is convergence, not any single wallet: the page surfaces a token when ≥2 distinct smart-money funder trees bought the same fresh mint inside the same two-hour window. A burner funded by a cohort wallet still counts as that tree — so the flag means genuinely separate proven money reached the same conclusion. That is the pattern that sits at the front edge of big runs: not a famous name buying, but measured winners arriving together.
Where the cohort comes from
The wallet set grows itself on-chain, from two sources. The primary one is a scout lane that polls fresh pump.fun mints every five minutes, records every wallet that bought inside the first 45 minutes, and tracks each mint for a week: a wallet that bought early into two or more distinct 30x runners — or a single 100x — admits itself to the cohort. Nobody hand-picks the list and nothing buys a seat; the entry fee is a ledger of early entries that paid. A second source harvests public wallet profit-board ranks on a ~30-day cadence.
Membership decays. The win ledger is a rolling 45-day window — a wallet that stops hitting ages out instead of coasting on an old reputation — and the cohort caps at 200 wallets so the feed watches form, not fame. The stats row on the live page shows the current count, alongside linked burners, live scouts, signals fired and settled.
Burners still count as their funder
Smart money rotates wallets same-day, but a fresh wallet still has to be funded from somewhere. A slow scan lane watches cohort wallets' SOL transfers out — a ≥0.05 SOL move into a fresh address adopts the child as a burner for 72 hours, rooted to its funder's tree. That is why the flag counts trees and not wallets: one whale spraying a buy across five fresh burners is still one buyer, and five trees landing on the same mint inside the window is the event.
The legit gate every signal passes
At signal time the mint account itself is read on-chain. A live freeze authority flags the card outright — the deployer can still lock every holder out of selling. Token-2022 extensions get the same audit: a permanent-delegate or transfer-hook extension flags it; a transfer-fee configuration, or a top holder above 50% of supply, marks it for review. Three verdicts — Clean (nothing tripped), Review (concentration or fee-bearing: shown, you judge), Flagged (a kill condition tripped: shown marked, and never mailed to subscribers).
A hit rate it has to earn
Every card self-scores for seven days. The engine re-prices the mint against its signal-time market cap every half hour — pump.fun while it sits on the bonding curve, GeckoTerminal after it graduates — and records the peak multiple. ≥30x is a hit, ≥50x a runner; a 10x counts as nothing. The hit rate the page reports — the share of settled signals that actually reached 30x — comes off that ladder, so the number is computed, not claimed.
Expect quiet. Plays like this fire a couple of times a month, and an empty feed is the filter doing its job rather than a dead engine — the tick indicator shows the last engine pass, so you can tell the difference at a glance.
What a card carries
Each signal card shows the ticker and mint linked to Solscan, the verdict chip, the tree count, market cap at signal versus now, the top holder's share, and every buyer address tagged with its tree and SOL size — burners marked ⟳. Trade routes to the swap with the mint preloaded. The vetting stays with you: a flag means proven money entered, not that it will stay.
Convergence is information, not certainty: smart wallets lose too — they just lose less often and exit faster. A flag tells you proven money entered; it says nothing about when it leaves. Treat every card as an entry to vet, not an instruction — and watch the wallet before you size.
See what proven money is converging on
Distinct-tree flags on fresh mints, self-scored on the 30x/50x ladder — subscribe and the signal comes to you.
Frequently asked
What does the smart money page flag?
Tokens where two or more distinct proven-wallet trees bought the same fresh Solana mint inside a two-hour window — convergence by wallets with a measured record of 30x+ wins, flagged at the front edge of the curve.
Where does the smart-money wallet list come from?
It grows itself on-chain: a scout lane scores fresh launches' early buyers and admits wallets that repeat 30x+ wins — two distinct runners, or a single 100x — with public wallet profit-board ranks as a second source on a ~30-day cadence. Burners funded by a cohort wallet still count as that tree, and wallets that stop winning age out of the rolling 45-day ledger.
Why doesn't one whale with many wallets fire a signal?
The unit is the funder tree, not the address. Fresh wallets funded by a tracked cohort wallet are adopted as burners of that tree, so one operator spraying a buy across five burners still counts as one buyer — the flag needs at least two genuinely separate trees inside the window.
What do the Clean, Review and Flagged verdicts mean?
The signal-time mint gate: a live freeze authority, a permanent delegate or a transfer hook flags the card outright; a transfer-fee extension or a top holder above half of supply marks it for review; nothing tripped reads clean. Flagged signals display marked but are never emailed.
Is the hit rate real or marketing?
Real — every flagged card self-scores on a 30x/50x ladder for 7 days after the flag, so the rate on the page is computed from what signals actually did. Nothing under 30x counts toward it.
Can I get alerted without watching the page?
Yes — email alerts go out on every non-flagged signal for subscribers, so convergence reaches you while the page is closed. Every mail carries a footer unsubscribe.